[PANAHON: Weather Watch Initiative] Tropical Storm Vamco (Ulysses) Report # 1

Check the latest updates and full from the Manila Observatory’s Panahon: Weather Watch Initiative at panahon.observatory.ph/reports.php

From the Manila Observatory Facebook page:

“As of 11 November 2020, 9AM

TS Vamco intensifies to a tropical storm (JTWC max 1min sustained winds: 111 kph), located ~350 km E of Infanta, Quezon moving west at 20kph (7AM Nov 11, PAGASA)

TS Vamco forecast to reach CAT 2 (max 1min sustained winds ~160 kph) before landfall over Polilio Islands tonight or by early morning Nov 12 (JTWC, PAGASA)

TS Vamco will traverse C Luzon and forecast to change into CAT 1 typhoon (max 1min sustained winds ~120 kph) over West Philippine Sea (13 Nov early morning)

Satellite image shows wide extent of TS Vamco rain bands affecting entire Philippines

Within 24 hrs: TS Vamco heavy rain (>200 mm) affecting N Bicol, Cagayan

Within 48 to 72 hrs: Heavy rain (>250 mm) expected over E Luzon (N Bicol, Cagayan, Aurora, Quezon, Cordillera, Mindoro); (150-200 mm) over Metro Manila; moderate rain (>50 mm) over S Bicol, N Samar

Potentially significant amounts of rainfall over regions already devastated by STY Goni (Rolly) in Bicol.

Rainfall in the next 72 hours associated with TS Vamco may cause severe flooding and landslide problems in densely populated areas such as Metro Manila and Central Luzon

NOTE: This report (website) contains information on potential impacts based on multiple data sources and scientific information. For official updates and warnings, please refer to PAGASA and other government agencies.”

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