[PANAHON: Weather Watch Initiative] Super Typhoon Goni (Rolly) Report # 2

Check the latest updates and full from the Manila Observatory’s Panahon: Weather Watch Initiative at panahon.observatory.ph/reports.php

From the Manila Observatory:

“As of 9AM, 31 October 2020

STY Goni intensifies to a CAT5 typhoon (max 1min sustained winds: 287 kph) and is about 630 km East of Catanduanes moving west-southwestward at approximately 19kph (JTWC, as of 2AM 31 Oct)

It is expected to change to a CAT 4 typhoon (max 1min sustained winds ~222 kph), but will remain destructive, before landfall likely over Catanduanes/Camarines Provinces (1 Nov afternoon).

STY Goni will traverse over Luzon and forecast to weaken into CAT 1 typhoon (max 1min sustained winds ~139 kph) over West Philippine Sea (2 Nov early morning)

High rainfall (>250mm) expected in next 48-72 hours over NCR, CALABARZON, Bicol Region

Moderate rainfall (~70mm) expected over eastern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao in next 48-72 hours (from 8AM Oct 30 to 8AM Nov 1 and Nov 2)

Impact for potential landslides, storm surge, and effect on agricultural areas, high population density to be monitored especially over recently hit areas by TY Molave (Quinta)

Coastal and mountainous areas: communities vulnerable to storm surge and landslides. Damages in agricultural areas: expected to impact the country, especially Luzon as agricultural producer (rice, corn, vegetables, fish and poultry, etc.)

See elevation, slope, land cover, population density, and poverty incidence maps along the typhoon’s observed path.

–NOTE: This report (website) contains information on potential impacts based on multiple data sources and scientific information. For official updates and warnings, please refer to PAGASA and other government agencies.”